El Número de casos confirmados de la covid-19 en Ecuador identificados por provincia de atención, se ajustan a la distribución de Ea ley de newcomb-benford
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.29166/rfcmq.v46i2.3094Palabras clave:
COVID-19, monitoreo epidemiológico, conceptos matemáticosResumen
Resumen
Introducción: Los datos epidemiológicos de COVID-19, de China, Estados Unidos, Korea del Sur, Inglaterra, España, Italia, Alemania, Holanda y Suecia se ajustan a la distribución de la Ley de Newcomb-Benford (LNB), lo cual indicaría que no existe falsificación de datos. No existe ningún reporte realizado con los datos epidemiológicos de Ecuador.
Objetivo: Conocer si los datos proporcionados por el Ministerio de Salud Pública (MSP) del Ecuador, con respecto a los casos confirmados con COVID-19 por provincia de atención, se ajustan a LNB.
Material y métodos: Se utilizó la base de datos epidemiológicos del Ministerio de Salud Pública del Ecuador, donde se aplicó la LNB a los datos epidemiológicos y
luego se aplicó la prueba de Chi – Cuadrado de Bondad de ajuste.
Resultados: Se obtuvo un valor p de 0,872 que es mayor al valor de significancia α = 0,05 y un valor de Chi-cuadrado = 3,82722, que es menor al valor crítico de Chi-cuadrado 15,5073.
Conclusión: Se aceptó la hipótesis nula, asumiendo que los datos epidemiológicos si se ajustan a la LNB y por ende no existiría datos falsificados.
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